Any Experience with the Gone Fishin' Portfolio?
In doing research on How to Select IRA Investments, I stumbled across the Gone Fishin' Portfolio. This link where I found out about the portfolio claims that it is based on the 1990 economics Nobel Prize. Is that a correct claim?
If you do know about the portfolio, do its claims appear to be true? If you don't, would you consider trying it?
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Yes, the "based on" claim appears to be true – but the Nobel laureate did not personally design that specific investment portfolio ;-)
It looks like the Gone Fishin' Portfolio is made up of a selection of low-fee stock and bond index funds, diversified by geography and market-capitalization, and regularly rebalanced. Excerpt from another article, dated 2003:
The Gone Fishin Portfolio [circa 2003]
Vanguard Total Stock Market Index (VTSMX) 15%
Vanguard Small-Cap Index (NAESX) 15%
Vanguard European Stock Index (VEURX) 10%
Vanguard Pacific Stock Index (VPACX) 10%
Vanguard Emerging Markets Index (VEIEX) 10%
Vanguard Short-term Bond Index (VFSTX) 10%
Vanguard High-Yield Corporates Fund (VWEHX) 10%
Vanguard Inflation-Protected Securities Fund (VIPSX) 10%
Vanguard REIT Index (VGSIX) 5%
Vanguard Precious Metals Fund (VGPMX) 5%
That does appear to me to be an example of a portfolio based on Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT), "which tries to maximize portfolio expected return for a given amount of portfolio risk" (per Wikipedia). MPT was introduced by Harry Markowitz, who did go on to share the 1990 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences. (Note: That is the economics equivalent of the original Nobel Prize.)
You'll find more information at NobelPrize.org - The Prize in Economics 1990 - Press Release.
Finally, for what it's worth, it isn't rocket science to build a similar portfolio. While I don't want to knock the Gone Fishin' Portfolio (I like most of its parts), there are many similar portfolios out there based on the same concepts. For instance, I'm reminded of a similar (though simpler) portfolio called the Couch Potato Portfolio, made popular by MoneySense magazine up here in Canada.
p.s. This other question about asset allocation is related and informative.
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