: Is the length of an epidemic linked to the strictness of the confinement? From my understanding the measures to confine the population are designed not to protect it from getting infected but to prevent the hospitals to be

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Is the length of an epidemic linked to the strictness of the confinement?
From my understanding the measures to confine the population are designed not to protect it from getting infected but to prevent the hospitals to be overflown by too many simultaneous cases.
In other words the confinement's purpose is to regulate the epidemic.

This combined to the declaration from Germany that 60 to 70% of its population will be infected, lead me to think that the more/stricter the population is confined, the slower the propagation is, therefore the longer the epidemic is and finally the longer the confinement itself lasts.

Is this correct ?
How many months would it take for the epidemic to end in a 70 million people country such as France ?

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